Coronavirus Outbreak. Can We Stop The Spread In Time? #StayHome

Hello health champions today I'm going to talk about the coronavirus covid-19 in terms

of how fast it's growing and where we are on that growth curve because the

numbers are going up faster than ever and the government is even considering

stronger protective measures but are we doing enough coming right up hey I'm Dr.

Ekberg I'm a holistic doctor and a former Olympic decathlete and if you

want to truly master health by understanding how the body really works

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anything the quarantine that President Trump is considering that would be

illegal to travel in and out of those states that he's considering and it it's

been met with tremendous critique both from some people to say that he hasn't

done enough that all of these measures should have been done long long time ago

that and said there will not be a quarantine but instead they're gonna

have a very strong travel advisory here are the current corona cases by nation

as of March 28th and the top countries so we have Korea Netherlands Switzerland

Great Britain Iran France Germany Spain and China which is where the outbreak

started they had about 80,000 cases but since then they have been surpassed by

Italy and the United States so Italy had over 90,000 and the US has over 120,000

these numbers don't tell the whole truth because it depends on where you are on

that growth curve and it of course it also depends on the population so China

obviously has the largest population but other than that the United States has

about the same population as all the other countries put together so if we

instead look at the numbers of number of cases per 1 million people now we find

that the United States is about 300 something the world average is this

dotted line at about 85 and italy has over 1500 cases per 1 million whereas

China even though they are at the end of their growth curve they have grown and

they have shrunk they are about about in the 50s somewhere

Spain is over 1500 we have Germany France and Iran somewhere in the middle

Great Britain not so much but Switzerland has the highest number of

cases per 1 million with over 1600 we have the Netherlands and then Korea

which is the other country that was relatively early infected with high

numbers never hit very very high they ended up around 170 or so so China and

Korea are some of the success stories if you will where they are at the end of

their they have past the peak and yet their numbers didn't get extremely high

you probably heard about flattening the curb and what is that all about well it

means that if we don't control the spread if we have a doubling effect on

that spread and every person goes to in fact to other people and we don't

control it at all then there would be a very very rapid rise that will have a

tremendous number of infected cases of active cases at the same time and if

that number of cases exceed the capacity of the medical system to handle the

critical cases then anything above that capacity would basically be a casualty

if they were critical and they couldn't get the help then they would perish so

the biggest goal in the restrictions is to not have too many cases at once but

to flatten the curve to delay the infections so that we would have fewer

people at any one time be infected and then hopefully the healthcare resources

would be enough to care for those critical cases there are a lot of

unknowns around this virus and some people are suggesting that it's possible

that it might be more like a flu virus that it's going to be a recurring thing

and in that case it's not so much about preventing the spread as delaying it but

again there's a whole lot about this that we don't know when we look at the

kerbs we have to keep in mind if they're showing us total cases or new cases

because most of the curves we see they're pointing straight up like this

red line and they're representing total cases and

so every day the cases are added to the previous day's cases and that's going to

make the curb very sharp if that situation eventually gets resolved then

that curve is not going to come down it's going to flatten and on the other

hand if we have a curb that represents the new cases every day then that curve

once it's resolved is going to end up down towards zero again so just keep

that in mind when you look at a curve what is it representing is it total

cases or is it new cases here are the new cases for the United

States so at the beginning of the month we had a handful of cases and then it

turned into a few hundred and then just about a week ten days ago we got into

the thousands of cases per day and since then as you see pretty much every day

the we have more new cases than the preceding day so that indicates that we

still have an exponential growth that there is a doubling growth function here

and the only thing that we can look at to give us some hope is that the

doubling rate is slower than it used to be so there was a while when the double

was every day and then every couple of days and then every 3-4 days and

eventually now I believe it's around six or eight days that it's doubling so

there is some progress but as long as it's doubling then it's still growing

very very fast in Italy they have probably hit the peak meaning it's far

from over but they don't have a doubling rate anymore that the number of cases

about ten days ago the number of new cases about ten days

ago is the same roughly the same level as it is today so hopefully their curve

will start turning downward when we look at China this is a month earlier so in

February they had their peak at the of January beginning of February and now

at the already at the beginning of March they were down to where they were

getting very few new cases and with South Korea now we're looking at March

again and they had their peak at the end of February beginning of March so they

went through the process a lot faster than China they were infected a good bit

later but they were pretty quick to hit their peak and then come down so they

haven't reached zero or extremely few cases they still run a couple of hundred

cases every day but they have definitely come past their

peak so here is a growth curve and the peak is where it's critical that's what

we want to flatten China past its peak and they were at the end of that about

March first South Korea have passed their peak and now at the end of March

they are at the end of their curve even though there's still quite a few cases

occurring Italy hopefully are hitting right as we speak have hit their peak

and are heading downwards but the u.s. we don't really know where it is it came

a little bit later and the growth rate is still very very fast so we still have

a doubling rate and nobody knows exactly when that peak is going to hit but there

are no official sources that think it's going to happen in the next few weeks

but rather probably several weeks or maybe even longer

the administration has received a lot of critique of not doing enough early on at

first it seemed like oh well this is a Chinese problem and this is a European

problem and now we know different that every country every region every

province every County pretty much has infections so it's just a matter of time

of when is it getting out of control so when are we supposed to introduce those

stronger measures when are we going to get really really serious when

going to do those things that we would have to do in an extreme crisis and if

we're smart we want to do it at the early stages when it might get out of

control that's like prevention or maybe when it's getting out of control we

don't want to wait until it's almost out of control or totally out of control or

monumentally out of control we want to be smart and proactive we don't want to

be reactive we don't want to do things just because we have to because we have

no other options because it's just so far gone this whole pandemic comes at an

enormous price we have different kind of costs we have lost income from not being

able to work we have lost productivity which affects

companies and nations we have human suffering and we'll have tremendous loss

of human lives and then there's even more trickle-down effect we have people

experiencing mental health problems they get anxious they get nervous they get

irritable both from the tension of the whole situation but also from having

their routines disrupted so instead of going about their daily lives and being

productive and doing things they enjoy and and I can create things now they're

cooped up at home and they often have an increased workload because they're

telecommuting but all their children are home so now they have to do some home

schooling and there's more friction and more stress than normal and that is also

taking its toll and we also want to consider the lives lost from non Corona

causes that we may have quite a few people who are having non Corona medical

emergencies that are now going to fall by the wayside that we may not have

those resources available to care for those people or to prioritize those

people because the health care system is already overwhelmed by all the critical

cases of corona infection so I would urge everyone watching this video to

follow all of the official guidelines restrict travel restrict social

interaction and take it seriously take personal responsibility don't just do

the minimum that you have to but go above and beyond and do everything that

you can to contain this spread and on a positive note someone they call mr. P

was released after recovering from the corona virus from a hospital in Italy

and he was a hundred and one years old and here's the interesting part about

that he was born in 1919 in the middle of the Spanish flu epidemic that claimed

some 50 million lives so his real name and picture were not disclosed but I

think it's a great testament to human endurance and survivability when someone

can live that long and even live through two of these pandemics and here is the

suggestion on what not to do this lady is trying to tell us I think to not

smoke and not eat cake because it's full of sugar and sugar

will diminish your immune system if you enjoyed this video make sure you take a

look at that one also thank you so much for watching and I'll see you in the